P&L Scenario Modeling & Sensitivity Analysis

Ardent Dynamics Corp — Forward-looking decision support for strategic P&L planning

Risk-Adj Op Income
$7.84M
Probability-weighted
GM Price Sensitivity
+142bp
Per 1% price change
Operating Leverage
2.3x
ΔOp Inc / ΔRevenue
Breakeven Revenue
$48.2M
Base scenario
Scenario Range Width
$8.1M
Bull–Bear EBITDA spread
Fixed Cost Coverage
1.6x
Revenue / Fixed costs

12-Month Scenario Fan Chart — Operating Income

Sensitivity Tornado Chart

Scenario Probability Distribution

Interactive Scenario Assumptions

12%
+3%
+5%
14 FTE
68%
$32M
18%
25%

Breakeven Analysis by Scenario

Revenue Mix Sensitivity Analysis

Headcount Investment Payback Period Matrix

Scenario P&L Summary — FY2024

Line Item Bear Case Base Case Bull Case Range Width
Revenue$54.2M$62.0M$71.8M$17.6M
COGS$18.1M$19.8M$22.2M$4.1M
Gross Profit$36.1M$42.2M$49.6M$13.5M
Gross Margin %66.6%68.1%69.1%2.5pp
R&D$12.4M$14.2M$16.8M$4.4M
Sales & Marketing$14.8M$16.1M$18.6M$3.8M
G&A$7.2M$7.8M$8.5M$1.3M
Total Opex$34.4M$38.1M$43.9M$9.5M
Operating Income$1.7M$4.1M$5.7M$4.0M
EBITDA$4.2M$6.8M$9.1M$4.9M

Price-Volume-Mix Decomposition (Q2 Actual vs Plan)

Scenario Probability Calibration History