Demand Forecasting & Inventory Intelligence

NovaDist Supply Chain Planning • DeepAR v3.1 • Updated Weekly

Weighted Demand (8-wk)
412.8K
+6.2%
Forecast MAPE
11.4%
+2.1pp
Stockout Risk (30d)
8.7%
+3.2pp
Avg. Lead-Time Dev.
+4.3d
GlobalParts
DoS Forecast (East DC)
42.6d
Healthy
Dead Stock Exposure
$84K
-$12K

8-Week Probabilistic Demand Forecast

Stockout Risk by DC & Category

Supplier Lead-Time Deviation

Action Queue — Urgent SKU-Location Replenishment

SKU DC Category Stockout Risk DoS Forecast (4-wk) Action
ELC-4782EastElectronics78%8.2d2,840Rush PO
HOM-2319CentralHome Goods62%12.1d1,520Expedite
PER-5601WestPersonal Care54%15.6d980Expedite
ELC-3904EastElectronics41%18.3d3,200Monitor
SPO-7812CentralSports38%22.4d1,140Monitor
HOM-8923WestHome Goods12%48.7d620Normal
TOY-1156EastToys9%54.2d1,820Normal
GAR-4421CentralGarden6%61.9d740Normal

Forecast MAPE by SKU Cluster

Days of Supply Forecast by DC

Scenario Comparison: Demand Outlook

Promotion Lift: Forecast vs. Actuals

Cannibalization vs. Dead Stock Risk Matrix

Order Fulfillment Rate Forecast: P50 vs. P10 Scenarios