Revenue & Pipeline Intelligence

Arcline Systems • Q4 FY24 • As of Dec 18, 2024

Unified revenue intelligence across new-logo, expansion, and renewal pipeline. Risk-adjusted forecast integrates CRM probability, stage velocity, and deal age to surface quarter-at-risk exposure and weighted coverage gaps.

ARR Base
$92.0M
340 Enterprise Accounts
Risk-Adj Forecast
$31.8M
-6.5% vs Plan
Total Pipeline
$118M
+14% QoQ
3.71× Coverage
Weighted Coverage
3.2×
Target: ≥3.2×
Pipeline Velocity
$412K
+8% vs Q3
Closed-Won / Day
Top-10 Concentration
38%
Risk: High
$44.8M in 10 Deals
Slippage Exposure
$7.4M
2 Major Deals
Moved Out of Q4

Risk-Adjusted Forecast Bridge • Q4 FY24

Commit
$28.2M
Best Case
+$6.8M
At Risk
-$3.2M
Final Forecast
$31.8M

Pipeline by Motion • $118M Total

Weighted Coverage by Stage

Discovery $18.2M • 0.6×
Solution Design $26.4M • 1.3×
Proposal $31.8M • 2.2×
Negotiation $24.6M • 3.8×
Closed Won $17.0M

Top 15 Deals by Pipeline Value

Account ACV Motion Stage Owner Risk Close Date
Meridian Health Systems $6.2M New Negotiation S. Chen Critical Dec 28
Vanguard Financial $4.8M Expansion Proposal L. Martinez Moderate Dec 22
Atlas Logistics $4.1M New Negotiation K. Park Healthy Dec 30
Quantum Dynamics $3.9M Renewal Proposal J. Thompson Healthy Dec 31
Sterling Manufacturing $3.7M Expansion Negotiation A. Rodriguez Healthy Dec 20
Pinnacle Retail Group $3.4M New Solution Design M. Williams Moderate Dec 29
Horizon Energy Partners $3.2M New Proposal D. Patel Critical Dec 27
Nexus Pharmaceuticals $2.9M Expansion Negotiation R. Kumar Healthy Dec 23
Crown Insurance Group $2.8M Renewal Proposal E. Johnson Healthy Dec 31
Beacon Technology $2.6M New Discovery T. Lee Moderate Dec 30

Win Rate by ACV Tier

Forecast Accuracy • Trailing 4 Quarters

New vs Expansion Mix

New Business $47.2M (40%)
Expansion $48.6M (41%)
Renewal $22.2M (19%)

YoY Pipeline Growth

+18.4%
vs Q4 FY23

30-Day Velocity Trend

$412K/day
7-Day Avg

Slippage-at-Risk Deals • Moved Out of Q4

Account ACV Original Close New Close Reason
Meridian Health Systems $6.2M Dec 15 Q1 '25 Procurement freeze
Horizon Energy Partners $3.2M Dec 20 Q1 '25 Legal review delay
Summit Telecom $1.8M Dec 28 Q1 '25 Budget reallocation
Precision Engineering $1.4M Dec 22 Q1 '25 Champion change
Critical Slippage Impact
$7.4M moved to Q1 represents 23% of original Q4 forecast. Immediate escalation required on Meridian procurement block.

Deal Age Distribution

0-30 days $28.2M
31-60 days $34.8M
61-90 days $32.6M
>90 days $22.4M
Forecast Lock Date
Dec 20, 2024 • 5:00 PM PT
New Business
$47.2M
Expansion
$48.6M
Renewal
$22.2M
Data refresh: Every 6 hours • Last sync: 2:34 PM PT