Attribution Delta Alert: Platform-reported revenue ($8.49M) exceeds actual revenue by 214%. Google Ads (+$2.8M), Meta (+$2.1M), TikTok (+$0.9M) over-reporting conversions.
MMM Contribution % by Channel
Marginal ROAS by Channel
Top Path-to-Conversion Sequences (Last 30 Days)
Path Sequence
Conversions
Revenue
Avg LTV
CAC
LTV:CAC
Google Search → Meta Retarget → Email
1,247
$487K
$391
$72
5.4x
Meta Prospecting → Google Search → Meta Retarget
892
$356K
$399
$94
4.2x
TikTok → Google Search → Email
634
$241K
$380
$81
4.7x
YouTube → Meta Retarget
511
$189K
$370
$103
3.6x
Email → Google Search
487
$201K
$413
$58
7.1x
Google Search (Direct)
423
$147K
$348
$118
2.9x
Meta Prospecting → TikTok → Meta Retarget
389
$134K
$345
$107
3.2x
TikTok (Direct)
298
$89K
$299
$142
2.1x
Channel Deep Dive
Channel
Spend
MMM Contrib%
Marginal ROAS
Status
Incremental $/Next $1K
Google Search
$374K
34%
1.21x
Diminishing
$1,210
Meta
$231K
28%
2.31x
Ascending
$2,310
Email
$88K
18%
4.10x
Undersaturated
$4,100
TikTok
$132K
11%
1.89x
Optimal
$1,890
YouTube
$275K
9%
0.87x
View-Through Flag
$870
CAC by Journey Path Length
Time-Lag Distribution (Days to Conversion)
Channel-Pair Synergy Index
Lift in conversion rate when channels appear together vs. individually
Google
Meta
Email
TikTok
YouTube
Google
—
+34%
+41%
+28%
+12%
Meta
+34%
—
+38%
+29%
+19%
Email
+41%
+38%
—
+33%
+21%
TikTok
+28%
+29%
+33%
—
+15%
YouTube
+12%
+19%
+21%
+15%
—
Recommended Budget Reallocation
Increase Email Budget by $64K/mo (+73%)
Email shows 4.1x marginal ROAS and is severely undersaturated. Each additional $1K generates $4,100 in revenue.
Increase Meta Budget by $87K/mo (+38%)
Meta is in ascending returns zone (2.31x marginal ROAS) and appears in highest-LTV path sequences.
Reduce Google Search by $125K/mo (-33%)
Google Search is in diminishing returns (1.21x marginal ROAS). Over-concentration at 34% of budget.
Review YouTube Attribution Model
YouTube shows 48% view-through attribution but 0.87x marginal ROAS. Investigate if view-through window is inflating conversions.